Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-10-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

LAK: 46.3%

VGK: 53.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.48

VGK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

LAK

J. Quick

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	51	47	4	92.2%	5.05	1	1.05
VGK	L. Thompson	30	27	3	90.0%	3.51	2	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • LAK at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.98
1	VGK	19	0	1.60
2	LAK	19	1	1.26
2	VGK	16	0	1.62
3	LAK	12	1	1.27
3	VGK	24	1	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.5 - 3.2