Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-10-13 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VGK: 78.5%

CHI: 21.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 5.01

CHI: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 56%

VGK

L. Thompson

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	27	27	0	100.0%	1.74	0	1.74
CHI	A. Stalock	37	36	1	97.3%	4.33	2	3.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • VGK at home vs CHI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	VGK 5 - 2 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	0	0.80
1	CHI	15	0	0.94
2	VGK	22	0	1.59
2	CHI	9	0	0.38
3	VGK	16	2	1.94
3	CHI	10	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 8.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 5.0 - 3.6