Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-10-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

CBJ: 42.8%

TBL: 57.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.80

TBL: 4.58

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	39	34	5	87.2%	3.74	3	-1.26
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	28	26	2	92.9%	3.01	1	1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	1	1.09
1	TBL	21	2	1.65
2	CBJ	16	0	1.25
2	TBL	13	1	0.90
3	CBJ	10	0	0.67
3	TBL	19	0	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 2.8 - 4.6