New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-10-14 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

WPG: 55.1%

NYR: 44.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.22

NYR: 3.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	41	40	1	97.6%	3.99	3	2.99
NYR	J. Halak	34	30	4	88.2%	5.07	3	1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	WPG
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	0	1.02
1	NYR	11	1	0.92
2	WPG	9	0	0.62
2	NYR	27	2	2.09
3	WPG	20	3	3.44
3	NYR	19	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.7