Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (77% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 77.2%

FLA: 22.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.78

FLA: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

BUF

E. Comrie

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	E. Comrie	37	33	4	89.2%	4.51	2	0.51
FLA	Spencer Knight	27	24	3	88.9%	2.08	0	-0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	FLA
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	0	1.09
1	FLA	24	2	2.33
2	BUF	13	0	0.63
2	FLA	22	0	1.79
3	BUF	6	0	0.37
3	FLA	8	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 77.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 3.2