Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 54.0%

DET: 46.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.05

DET: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

NJD

V. Vanecek

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	22	17	5	77.3%	2.18	1	-2.82
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	39	37	2	94.9%	4.01	3	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.67
1	DET	12	0	0.79
2	NJD	26	3	2.48
2	DET	15	1	1.07
3	NJD	12	0	0.87
3	DET	5	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1