Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

DAL: 64.3%

NSH: 35.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.70

NSH: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 36%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	30	29	1	96.7%	2.77	1	1.77
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	17	5	77.3%	3.74	6	-1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	2	1.50
1	NSH	20	0	0.89
2	DAL	7	1	0.62
2	NSH	21	1	1.27
3	DAL	14	3	1.62
3	NSH	17	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.7 - 2.8