Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-10-17 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 44.0%

ANA: 56.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.40

ANA: 4.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	22	18	4	81.8%	2.50	3	-1.50
ANA	John Gibson	43	37	6	86.0%	4.77	1	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NYR
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	0	1.72
1	ANA	10	0	0.42
2	NYR	20	1	1.51
2	ANA	5	0	0.45
3	NYR	18	0	1.54
3	ANA	10	3	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 6 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 4.1