Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-10-18 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 63.0%

LAK: 37.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.41

LAK: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	33	4	89.2%	5.00	2	1.00
LAK	C. Petersen	35	32	3	91.4%	3.82	2	0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NSH at home vs LAK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	LAK 3 - 2 NSH	LAK	LAK
2026-04-02	LAK 4 - 5 NSH	NSH	LAK
2025-10-25	NSH 5 - 4 LAK	NSH	NSH
2025-03-15	LAK 1 - 0 NSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-21	NSH 3 - 2 LAK	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.87
1	LAK	13	0	0.92
2	NSH	21	0	1.29
2	LAK	11	0	1.00
3	NSH	5	0	0.34
3	LAK	20	1	1.94
4	NSH	10	2	1.12
4	LAK	2	0	0.17
5	NSH	3	0	0.20
5	LAK	2	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1