Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

PIT: 76.7%

LAK: 23.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.25

LAK: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 61%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	40	39	1	97.5%	3.96	2	2.96
LAK	C. Petersen	34	28	6	82.4%	2.66	0	-3.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • PIT at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	0	0.56
1	LAK	19	1	1.02
2	PIT	15	0	0.91
2	LAK	20	1	1.93
3	PIT	15	0	1.19
3	LAK	15	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.1