Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 46.4%

NSH: 53.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.91

NSH: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	26	23	3	88.5%	2.32	3	-0.68
NSH	K. Lankinen	42	37	5	88.1%	4.08	5	-0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	CBJ 3 - 2 NSH	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-09	NSH 2 - 1 CBJ	NSH	CBJ
2025-04-01	CBJ 8 - 4 NSH	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-26	NSH 4 - 3 CBJ	NSH	NSH
2024-04-13	NSH 6 - 4 CBJ	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.28
1	NSH	10	2	1.01
2	CBJ	26	1	1.84
2	NSH	16	1	0.79
3	CBJ	22	4	1.97
3	NSH	10	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3