New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYI: 31.4%

NJD: 68.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.32

NJD: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	43	39	4	90.7%	4.71	3	0.71
NJD	M. Blackwood	17	16	1	94.1%	1.84	0	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs NJD: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	5	0	0.19
1	NJD	19	1	1.57
2	NYI	14	0	0.94
2	NJD	15	0	1.00
3	NYI	8	0	0.71
3	NJD	24	2	2.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.3 - 3.0