Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-10-20 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 37.6%

CAR: 62.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.96

CAR: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 51%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	40	36	4	90.0%	3.47	2	-0.53
CAR	Frederik Andersen	33	27	6	81.8%	4.60	3	-1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	1	1.75
1	CAR	15	1	0.80
2	EDM	10	1	0.98
2	CAR	25	1	1.88
3	EDM	14	1	1.87
3	CAR	13	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3