Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)

Win Probability

BOS: 54.2%

MIN: 45.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.24

MIN: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

BOS

L. Ullmark

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	27	24	3	88.9%	1.41	0	-1.59
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	43	39	4	90.7%	3.77	1	-0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	MIN
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	0	0.83
1	MIN	13	0	0.49
2	BOS	18	0	1.15
2	MIN	8	0	0.40
3	BOS	9	0	0.48
3	MIN	13	0	0.48
4	BOS	11	1	1.31
4	MIN	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2