San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2022-10-22 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 76.4%
SJS: 23.6%
Expected Goals
NJD: 4.69
SJS: 2.44
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
M. Blackwood
SJS
K. Kahkonen
| Stat | NJD | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | M. Blackwood | 22 | 21 | 1 | 95.5% | 1.87 | 1 | 0.87 |
| SJS | K. Kahkonen | 36 | 34 | 2 | 94.4% | 3.74 | 3 | 1.74 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs SJS: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | SJS 5 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3 - 1 SJS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-04 | SJS 3 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0 - 1 SJS | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-02-27 | SJS 2 - 7 NJD | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 12 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 1 | SJS | 11 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 2 | NJD | 21 | 3 | 2.12 |
| 2 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 3 | NJD | 10 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 3 | SJS | 19 | 1 | 1.26 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 76.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.7 - 2.4
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