St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 56.3%

STL: 43.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.20

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 58%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	22	20	2	90.9%	2.33	1	0.33
STL	Jordan Binnington	23	23	0	100.0%	2.37	1	2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs STL: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	8	0	0.58
1	STL	12	0	0.62
2	EDM	12	1	0.90
2	STL	10	0	0.80
3	EDM	13	0	0.89
3	STL	11	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9