Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-10-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 71.8%

PHI: 28.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.60

PHI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	25	22	3	88.0%	1.92	1	-1.08
PHI	C. Hart	32	31	1	96.9%	2.88	0	1.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	22	0	1.16
1	PHI	8	0	0.57
2	NSH	18	0	1.20
2	PHI	15	0	0.68
3	NSH	13	0	0.52
3	PHI	10	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7