Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-10-23 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CHI: 54.2%

SEA: 45.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.96

SEA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

A. Stalock

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	34	30	4	88.2%	3.06	0	-0.94
SEA	M. Jones	27	22	5	81.5%	2.58	0	-2.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs SEA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	SEA
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CHI	9	0.49
1	SEA	21	1.39
2	CHI	17	1.47
2	SEA	14	1.03
3	CHI	12	0.62
3	SEA	14	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0