Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-10-23 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 67.2%

CBJ: 32.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.50

CBJ: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYR

J. Halak

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	J. Halak	21	16	5	76.2%	1.95	0	-3.05
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	31	30	1	96.8%	3.35	1	2.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.89
1	CBJ	9	0	0.61
2	NYR	24	1	1.96
2	CBJ	10	0	0.46
3	NYR	10	0	0.50
3	CBJ	10	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3