Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-10-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 65.7%

WSH: 34.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.85

WSH: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

M. Blackwood

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	22	16	6	72.7%	2.54	3	-3.46
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	41	38	3	92.7%	4.76	3	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 26% • NJD at home vs WSH: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.57
1	WSH	12	1	0.98
2	NJD	18	1	1.78
2	WSH	15	2	1.28
3	NJD	19	1	1.41
3	WSH	5	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.8 - 2.6