Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-10-24 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VAN: 35.0%

CAR: 65.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.45

CAR: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	39	36	3	92.3%	3.17	1	0.17
CAR	Frederik Andersen	16	14	2	87.5%	1.43	1	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	1	0.76
1	CAR	24	0	1.14
2	VAN	8	0	0.42
2	CAR	11	0	0.59
3	VAN	7	0	0.26
3	CAR	20	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.5 - 3.1