Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-10-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

MTL: 49.8%

MIN: 50.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.00

MIN: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

MTL

J. Allen

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	31	28	3	90.3%	4.24	3	1.24
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	27	26	1	96.3%	3.11	3	2.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.85
1	MIN	15	0	1.12
2	MTL	10	1	0.86
2	MIN	14	1	1.51
3	MTL	14	2	1.41
3	MIN	8	2	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1