Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-10-25 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

LAK: 52.2%

TBL: 47.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.62

TBL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

LAK

J. Quick

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	25	23	2	92.0%	2.71	1	0.71
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	33	29	4	87.9%	3.25	1	-0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs TBL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	LAK 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	LAK
2025-12-18	TBL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	TBL
2025-01-30	TBL 3 - 0 LAK	TBL	TBL
2025-01-04	LAK 2 - 1 TBL	LAK	LAK
2024-03-23	LAK 4 - 3 TBL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	1	1.23
1	TBL	11	0	0.63
2	LAK	15	0	1.07
2	TBL	12	1	1.20
3	LAK	19	0	0.95
3	TBL	10	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2