New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-10-26 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NYI: 61.8%

NYR: 38.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.65

NYR: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	41	41	0	100.0%	3.66	0	3.66
NYR	J. Halak	29	26	3	89.7%	3.18	2	0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NYI at home vs NYR: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	1	0.89
1	NYR	18	0	1.12
2	NYI	15	1	1.06
2	NYR	21	0	1.27
3	NYI	13	0	1.23
3	NYR	17	0	1.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8