St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2022-10-27 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 6 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 73.7%
STL: 26.3%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.22
STL: 3.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
STL
T. Greiss
| Stat | NSH | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 35 | 33 | 2 | 94.3% | 3.28 | 0 | 1.28 |
| STL | T. Greiss | 42 | 36 | 6 | 85.7% | 4.72 | 3 | -1.28 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NSH 6 - 5 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-27 | STL 3 - 2 NSH | STL | NSH |
| 2025-12-15 | STL 2 - 5 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-11 | NSH 7 - 2 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-27 | NSH 2 - 3 STL | STL | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 19 | 1 | 1.36 |
| 1 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 2 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 2 | STL | 19 | 0 | 1.49 |
| 3 | NSH | 23 | 2 | 2.54 |
| 3 | STL | 18 | 0 | 1.31 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 6 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.2 - 3.8
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