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2026-27 Season Live

Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-10-27 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
CHI: 53.2%
EDM: 46.8%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.17
EDM: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI
A. Stalock
EDM
Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA
StatCHIEDM
Season SV%—0.873
Last 5 SV%——
SV% vs Opponent——
GAA—4.50
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

TeamGoalieSASavesGASV%xGAHD FacedGSAx
CHIA. Stalock3832684.2%3.090-2.91
EDMJack Campbell3631586.1%3.202-1.80
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs EDM: 1-6
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-02EDM 3 - 1 CHIEDMEDM
2026-01-12CHI 1 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2025-11-01EDM 3 - 2 CHIEDMEDM
2025-02-05CHI 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2025-01-11CHI 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM

Shot Quality by Period

PeriodTeamShotsHigh DangerxG
1CHI1500.78
1EDM1900.86
2CHI2122.03
2EDM1601.08
3CHI800.39
3EDM1801.15
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 6 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2