Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-27 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 67.4%

VAN: 32.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.50

VAN: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

M. Jones

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	19	14	5	73.7%	2.08	2	-2.92
VAN	Thatcher Demko	36	32	4	88.9%	2.97	0	-1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SEA at home vs VAN: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	1.47
1	VAN	10	1	0.87
2	SEA	14	0	0.49
2	VAN	8	0	0.52
3	SEA	23	0	1.01
3	VAN	5	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5