Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2022-10-28 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 70.6%
ANA: 29.4%
Expected Goals
VGK: 4.20
ANA: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
L. Thompson
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | VGK | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | L. Thompson | 29 | 29 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.27 | 0 | 2.27 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 22 | 18 | 4 | 81.8% | 2.73 | 0 | -1.27 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs ANA: 9-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | ANA 1 - 5 VGK | VGK | ANA |
| 2026-05-12 | VGK 3 - 2 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-05-10 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-05-08 | ANA 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | ANA |
| 2026-05-06 | VGK 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | VGK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VGK | 16 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 1 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 2 | VGK | 12 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 3 | VGK | 8 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.86 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 4.2 - 2.8
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