Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-10-28 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NJD: 71.7%

COL: 28.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.93

COL: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

V. Vanecek

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	24	24	0	100.0%	2.45	1	2.45
COL	P. Francouz	23	22	1	95.7%	2.46	3	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs COL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.73
1	COL	10	1	0.67
2	NJD	8	1	0.83
2	COL	12	0	0.73
3	NJD	12	1	0.90
3	COL	12	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7