Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

BUF: 51.0%

CHI: 49.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.33

CHI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

BUF

C. Anderson

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	26	23	3	88.5%	3.76	3	0.76
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	45	41	4	91.1%	5.24	5	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • BUF at home vs CHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	CHI 1 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-21	BUF 9 - 3 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-27	BUF 6 - 2 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-10-19	CHI 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-18	BUF 3 - 0 CHI	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	18	2	2.22
1	CHI	13	1	1.55
2	BUF	18	3	1.88
2	CHI	17	2	1.73
3	BUF	18	0	1.07
3	CHI	5	0	0.48
4	BUF	1	0	0.08
4	CHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3