Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2022-10-29 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 50.7%
MIN: 49.3%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.46
MIN: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | DET | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.892 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.55 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | Ville Husso | 31 | 30 | 1 | 96.8% | 2.60 | 2 | 1.60 |
| MIN | Filip Gustavsson | 25 | 23 | 2 | 92.0% | 1.94 | 0 | -0.06 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs MIN: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-22 | MIN 4 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-25 | MIN 2 - 3 DET | DET | MIN |
| 2025-02-22 | DET 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2023-12-27 | MIN 6 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 16 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 1 | MIN | 20 | 2 | 1.29 |
| 2 | DET | 16 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | MIN | 11 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 3 | DET | 3 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 3 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.68 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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