Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-10-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 62.4%

WSH: 37.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.21

WSH: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	32	3	91.4%	4.75	4	1.75
WSH	D. Kuemper	34	34	0	100.0%	3.42	3	3.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	1	1.17
1	WSH	25	0	1.76
2	NSH	17	1	1.38
2	WSH	15	0	1.02
3	NSH	18	1	0.87
3	WSH	12	4	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1