Columbus Blue Jackets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2022-10-30 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 7 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 70.6%
CBJ: 29.4%
Expected Goals
NJD: 4.07
CBJ: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
V. Vanecek
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.877 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 4.04 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | V. Vanecek | 21 | 20 | 1 | 95.2% | 0.72 | 0 | -0.28 |
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 53 | 46 | 7 | 86.8% | 4.83 | 4 | -2.17 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs CBJ: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | NJD 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | NJD |
| 2025-12-31 | CBJ 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | CBJ |
| 2025-12-01 | NJD 3 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | NJD |
| 2025-10-13 | CBJ 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | CBJ |
| 2025-03-17 | CBJ 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 26 | 2 | 1.68 |
| 1 | CBJ | 5 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 2 | NJD | 18 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 2 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 3 | NJD | 28 | 2 | 2.06 |
| 3 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.37 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 7 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 4.1 - 2.7
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