Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-10-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 52.7%

WPG: 47.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.29

WPG: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	24	23	1	95.8%	1.81	0	0.81
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	48	46	2	95.8%	5.24	4	3.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs WPG: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	22	3	1.95
1	WPG	5	0	0.27
2	VGK	20	1	1.64
2	WPG	8	0	0.49
3	VGK	18	0	1.37
3	WPG	19	0	0.67
4	VGK	2	0	0.28
4	WPG	5	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2