Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-10-31 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Washington Capitals (SO)

Win Probability

CAR: 72.3%

WSH: 27.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.11

WSH: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 53%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	20	3	87.0%	2.99	3	-0.01
WSH	D. Kuemper	38	34	4	89.5%	4.83	2	0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CAR at home vs WSH: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	0	0.71
1	WSH	8	0	0.59
2	CAR	12	0	0.64
2	WSH	9	1	0.62
3	CAR	22	0	1.36
3	WSH	8	1	0.62
4	CAR	5	0	0.39
4	WSH	1	0	0.09
5	CAR	3	2	1.73
5	WSH	3	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.1 - 2.5