Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 68.1%

PHI: 31.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.61

PHI: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	19	19	0	100.0%	1.62	1	1.62
PHI	C. Hart	36	35	1	97.2%	4.91	3	3.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYR at home vs PHI: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	0.98
1	PHI	8	0	0.31
2	NYR	26	0	2.18
2	PHI	7	0	0.47
3	NYR	13	2	1.26
3	PHI	9	1	0.63
4	NYR	6	0	0.49
4	PHI	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6