New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 52.2%

NYI: 47.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.29

NYI: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

CHI

A. Stalock

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	A. Stalock	33	30	3	90.9%	2.95	2	-0.05
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	22	21	1	95.5%	1.75	0	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.35
1	NYI	13	1	1.19
2	CHI	13	0	0.56
2	NYI	9	0	0.55
3	CHI	10	0	0.84
3	NYI	15	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8