Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DAL: 57.6%

LAK: 42.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.39

LAK: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

DAL

S. Wedgewood

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	S. Wedgewood	32	30	2	93.8%	2.49	0	0.49
LAK	C. Petersen	40	35	5	87.5%	3.48	2	-1.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	22	0	1.42
1	LAK	10	0	0.81
2	DAL	16	1	1.12
2	LAK	22	0	1.38
3	DAL	14	1	0.94
3	LAK	12	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0