Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 43.8%

NSH: 56.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.83

NSH: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 44%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	23	19	4	82.6%	2.73	2	-1.27
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	30	7	81.1%	5.17	2	-1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NSH: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	NSH
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	1	1.48
1	NSH	11	1	0.71
2	EDM	18	0	1.70
2	NSH	11	1	1.39
3	EDM	13	1	1.98
3	NSH	12	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1