Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 44.6%

SEA: 55.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.07

SEA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dan Vladar	26	21	5	80.8%	1.54	0	-3.46
SEA	Joey Daccord	40	36	4	90.0%	3.01	0	-0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	SEA
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CGY	9	0.46
1	SEA	13	0.44
2	CGY	26	1.84
2	SEA	8	0.44
3	CGY	15	0.71
3	SEA	10	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2