Florida Panthers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-11-01 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (71% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 29.4%

FLA: 70.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 1.98

FLA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	42	41	1	97.6%	3.83	0	2.83
FLA	Spencer Knight	21	18	3	85.7%	3.39	3	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-24	FLA 6 - 2 ARI	FLA	FLA
2024-01-02	ARI 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	ARI
2023-01-03	FLA 5 - 3 ARI	FLA	FLA
2022-11-01	ARI 3 - 1 FLA	ARI	FLA
2021-12-10	ARI 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.50
1	FLA	16	0	1.06
2	ARI	8	0	0.63
2	FLA	23	0	1.61
3	ARI	14	3	2.25
3	FLA	22	0	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.0 - 3.2