Boston Bruins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 66.2%

BOS: 33.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.60

BOS: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	37	32	5	86.5%	4.69	5	-0.31
BOS	L. Ullmark	20	18	2	90.0%	1.57	0	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • NYR at home vs BOS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	8	0	0.21
1	BOS	14	1	1.29
2	NYR	14	0	1.08
2	BOS	15	0	1.13
3	NYR	8	0	0.28
3	BOS	22	4	2.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7