New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 52.0%

NYI: 48.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.17

NYI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	25	5	83.3%	3.00	2	-2.00
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	34	32	2	94.1%	2.53	0	0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	STL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	STL
2025-11-22	NYI 1 - 2 STL	STL	STL
2024-11-23	NYI 3 - 1 STL	NYI	NYI
2024-10-17	STL 1 - 0 NYI	STL	STL
2024-03-05	NYI 4 - 2 STL	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	0	1.02
1	NYI	17	0	0.87
2	STL	18	0	0.73
2	NYI	17	1	1.51
3	STL	19	0	0.78
3	NYI	8	1	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9