Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 56.3%

NSH: 43.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.48

NSH: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	32	28	4	87.5%	4.09	4	0.09
NSH	K. Lankinen	30	29	1	96.7%	2.35	1	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	3	0	0.06
1	NSH	17	1	1.20
2	CGY	20	1	1.47
2	NSH	14	1	1.13
3	CGY	18	0	0.82
3	NSH	13	2	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1