New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

EDM: 31.8%

NJD: 68.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.21

NJD: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	43	39	4	90.7%	3.76	1	-0.24
NJD	M. Blackwood	37	34	3	91.9%	4.74	2	1.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	1.20
1	NJD	23	1	1.46
2	EDM	19	0	1.78
2	NJD	14	0	0.96
3	EDM	16	2	1.75
3	NJD	24	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.2 - 3.2