Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2022-11-03 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 8 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 56.9%
ANA: 43.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.39
ANA: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
S. Martin
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | VAN | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | S. Martin | 31 | 26 | 5 | 83.9% | 2.81 | 1 | -2.19 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 47 | 39 | 8 | 83.0% | 4.77 | 4 | -3.23 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | ANA 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | ANA |
| 2026-03-24 | VAN 3 - 5 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-29 | VAN 2 - 0 ANA | VAN | ANA |
| 2025-11-26 | ANA 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | ANA |
| 2025-04-05 | VAN 6 - 2 ANA | VAN | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 13 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 1 | ANA | 11 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | VAN | 19 | 2 | 1.66 |
| 2 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 3 | VAN | 25 | 2 | 2.31 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 1.54 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 8 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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