Dallas Stars at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-11-03 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 7 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

ARI: 33.6%

DAL: 66.4%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.65

DAL: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	36	29	7	80.6%	2.98	1	-4.02
DAL	S. Wedgewood	30	28	2	93.3%	2.30	1	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • ARI at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-24	ARI 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-20	DAL 5 - 2 ARI	DAL	DAL
2023-11-14	DAL 4 - 3 ARI	DAL	DAL
2023-03-31	ARI 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	ARI
2023-03-01	DAL 4 - 2 ARI	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.39
1	DAL	17	1	1.44
2	ARI	19	0	0.85
2	DAL	16	0	1.11
3	ARI	17	1	1.06
3	DAL	10	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 7 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3