Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-11-04 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CAR: 53.4%

BUF: 46.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.40

BUF: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

A. Raanta

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	25	22	3	88.0%	2.77	2	-0.23
BUF	C. Anderson	33	28	5	84.8%	4.02	1	-0.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BUF: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	1.05
1	BUF	10	1	0.67
2	CAR	18	0	1.27
2	BUF	12	1	1.15
3	CAR	15	1	1.70
3	BUF	14	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 3.5