Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • Nokia Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 53.3%

COL: 46.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.11

COL: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	45	40	5	88.9%	3.87	1	-1.13
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	32	31	1	96.9%	1.88	1	0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL
2024-04-01	CBJ 4 - 1 COL	CBJ	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	0.99
1	COL	17	1	1.60
2	CBJ	5	0	0.21
2	COL	22	0	1.50
3	CBJ	18	1	0.69
3	COL	17	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6