New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-11-05 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 37.5%

NJD: 62.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.54

NJD: 3.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	35	31	4	88.6%	4.15	4	0.15
NJD	V. Vanecek	30	27	3	90.0%	2.74	3	-0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CGY at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	9	1	0.59
1	NJD	17	2	1.43
2	CGY	20	2	1.62
2	NJD	19	1	1.26
3	CGY	15	0	0.52
3	NJD	9	1	0.91
4	CGY	0	0	0.00
4	NJD	4	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.5 - 3.6